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☆ Apple shares could be primed for a rebound, according to the charts
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-24 | by ( Frank Cappelleri | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Investors have gotten so used to the stock making new highs every year that during the times in which this doesn't happen, concerns intensify. AAPL vs. its 200-day moving average AAPL has also been trading below its 200-day moving average for over two months. Indeed, it's spent more time below the long-term moving average over the years, but reclaiming the line has triggered newfound strength in the past. The big topping pattern is not bearish Another potential positive is that Apple's sporting a big bearish topping pattern on its weekly chart. DISCLOSURES: Cappelleri personally owns AAPL stock.

Persons: There's, it's, Said, AAPL, Cappelleri Organizations: Apple, Downside

☆ This little-known stock is one of the few making new highs. The charts signal it can keep going
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-17 | by ( Frank Cappelleri | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

On Tuesday, 267 S & P 500 stocks made new 20-day lows. Only one S & P 500 component made a new 20-day high. As is clear, the stock has broken out of one bullish pattern (blue) and is trying to trigger another one (green). Lastly, VLTO's former parent company, DHR, has underperformed both the S & P 500 and the industrials sector since it topped in 2021. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.

Persons: it's, VLTO, It's, Frank Cappelleri

☆ If yields start moving at a faster pace, stocks will suffer, says Frank Cappelleri
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-11 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailIf yields start moving at a faster pace, stocks will suffer, says Frank CappelleriFrank Cappelleri, Founder and President of CappThesis, lays out the technical signals the markets are sending.

Persons: Frank Cappelleri Frank Cappelleri

☆ CappThesis founder on regional banks ETF: Been a comeback story since last March
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-10 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCappThesis founder on regional banks ETF: Been a comeback story since last MarchFrank Cappelleri, CappThesis founder and president, joins 'Money Movers' to discuss his thoughts on the overall equity market, Cappelleri's thoughts on the attempted comeback from the real estate sector, and more.

Persons: Frank Cappelleri

☆ Why the next 10 trading days are a make-or-break moment for this bull market
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-10 | by ( Frank Cappelleri | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

The S & P 500 has been higher two weeks later all five times. The S & P 500 popped 1.1% on the day of the release. If this happens, it could finally infect the S & P 500, however. The first clue would be seeing the S & P 500 down two weeks after a CPI report. Ultimately, the S & P 500 can pull back to the 4,800 zone and remain above the breakout zone.

Persons: we've, –, hasn't, …, We'll Organizations: Treasury

☆ S&P 500 can pull back 7-8% and still keep the 6,100 breakout target: CappThesis' Frank Cappelleri
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-27 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailS&P 500 can pull back 7-8% and still keep the 6,100 breakout target: CappThesis' Frank CappelleriFrank Cappelleri, CappThesis founder and president, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss bitcoin's price rebound, the latest gold rally, latest market trends, and more.

Persons: Frank Cappelleri Frank Cappelleri

☆ Cathie Wood's ARK ETF is forming a bottoming pattern, poised for a breakout, according to the charts
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-27 | by ( Frank Cappelleri | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

But following more than a year of erratic behavior from Cathie Wood's flagship vehicle, the ARK Innovation Fund appears to be forming a basing pattern that could herald a breakout ahead. Bullish pattern developing However, the ETF deserves our attention from a technical perspective since it could be getting closer to breaking out of a two-year basing pattern. And as the chart shows, this has prompted a second bullish formation to be constructed – a big cup and handle pattern. If a breakout through the two-year base does occur, the odds suggest that it will get traders' attention once again. If nothing else, it's important to understand what you're investing in, especially a very active ETF like ARKK.

Persons: ARKK, That's, Price, Tesla, It's Organizations: Innovation, Google, VanEck Semiconductor, Coinbase Locations: ARKK

☆ This major ETF that's home to Meta and Disney is looking to break out again, according to the charts
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-20 | by ( Frank Cappelleri | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

The Communications Services Select SPDR ETF (XLC) , home of Meta, Alphabet and Disney, is doing one of the following at any given time this year: Breaking out, digesting said breakout and then breaking out again. We'll notice that the monster reversal happened a solid four months before the S & P 500 topped out in early 2022… and we can blame Meta (META) for that. Meta tailwind When META cracked back then, it took XLC with it. However, it, too, has a constructive chart pattern – a potential large base that is almost two years in length. This ETF is VERY illiquid, thus, it's not the best trading vehicle… That said, one particular holding has a similar looking pattern: Disney (DIS) .

Persons: XLC's uptrend, XLC, it's, NWSA, Frank Cappelleri Organizations: Meta, Netflix, News Corp, Communication Services Locations: XLC

☆ Reading the charts: How to know when this stock market bull run is over
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-13 | by ( Frank Cappelleri | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

The S & P 500 just achieved its last upside target of 5,180 a few days ago. The S & P 500 has closed above its own intra-day midpoint 80% of the time since October lows. The index's longest streak of "good closes" (closes above the mid-point) since the October lows has been nine. Consistently strong market breadth Market breadth (or internals) can be measured different ways, but simply tracking the percent of stocks advancing every day is both the simplest and most useful. From this perspective, the S & P 500 has had positive internals 70% of the trading days since the October lows.

Persons: It's, That's, they've, we'll

☆ These 3 restaurant stocks are breaking out, according to the charts
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-06 | by ( Frank Cappelleri | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

This prompted us to investigate the group further, which revealed that various stocks are sporting constructive technical formations. Restaurant stocks charts showing strength McDonalds (MCD) has had a wild ride over the last 10 months and now sits at the same price level that it was trading at last April — eleven months ago. MCD isn't the only restaurant stock that's sporting an attractive technical pattern. On the weekly chart, Restaurant Brands International (QSR) looks very similar to MCD, having formed its own inverse-head-and-shoulders formation over the last year. While this is no indication of what could happen now to MCD, YUM and QSR, it shows how breaking through multi-year resistance can attract momentum.

Persons: that's, —, Frank Cappelleri Organizations: Brands, Texas

☆ This ETF has 30% upside as the IPO market heats up, according to the charts
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-28 | by ( Frank Cappelleri | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

There are various ETFs that hold recent IPOs, including the Renaissance Capital Greenwich Funds' Renaissance IPO ETF (IPO) . The 200-day moving average is the most popular long-term moving average and one of the best long-term trend indicators. The IPO ETF bounced from the line last fall and has been trading above it through the first two months of 2024. Seeing IPO stay above the upward sloping 200-day moving average is the best-case scenario. Two IPO Holdings Investors should be aware the IPO ETF isn't very liquid, meaning that its average daily volume isn't robust.

Persons: RYAN, Frank Cappelleri Organizations: Renaissance Capital Greenwich Funds, RSI, Ryan Specialty Holdings

☆ This struggling energy ETF could be due for a comeback, according to the charts
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-22 | by ( Frank Cappelleri | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Many ETFs and stocks have been rallying over the last four months, and some have been making new all-time highs. The OIH Oil Services ETF is not one of them. Crude oil All energy-related stocks and ETFs are beholden to crude, which has been struggling since topping out in June 2022. Crude oil recently bounced from its lows and is trying, once again, to leverage a potential bullish chart formation. This chart shows exactly how well the ETF has adhered to this multiyear upward sloping trading channel.

Persons: It's, OIH, We've Organizations: OIH Oil Services

☆ These 2 under-the-radar stocks are outperforming during the sell-off and ready to breakout
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-14 | by ( Frank Cappelleri | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Only 10% (or about 50) of the S & P 500's holdings advanced on Tuesday's market-wide sell-off, which is an extremely low amount. Being up on a very big down session isn't the only thing that the stocks have in common. In fact, they are two of just 10 S & P 500 holdings currently trading over the $1L mark. Primed to outperform the market again All that said, AZO and ORLY have not outperformed the S & P 500 over the last two years. But their recent relative lines vs. the SPX now resemble the patterns from 2019-21, right before strong relative moves commenced.

Persons: AZO, they've, Frank Cappelleri Organizations: O'Reilly Automotive, ORLY, & $ Locations: ORLY, AZO's, …, AZO

☆ This volatile ETF not for the faint-hearted might be breaking out, according to the charts
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-07 | by ( Frank Cappelleri | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

An ETF that's down 80% from its all-time high or one that is up 110% from its all-time low? Both of these outlandish percent moves describe the AdvisorShares Pure US Cannabis ETF (MSOS) , which is down 80% from its February '21 high and now up 110% from its October '23 low. The only discernable point here is the spike in early February'21, which lined up exactly with the ETF's all-time high. The ETF had flirted with piercing this line before – most recently this past fall - but each attempt failed before 2024. Any index, ETF or stock that's in a long-term uptrend is trading above an upward sloping 200-day moving average.

Persons: Hope, we're, MSOS, Frank Cappelleri Organizations: Cannabis ETF

☆ The 10-year Treasury yield sits at a critical juncture. What the charts say will happen next
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-31 | by ( Frank Cappelleri | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

The market, in the Fed's case, is the 10-year Treasury yield . However, for both stocks and bonds, the charts can help us understand the underlying trends, patterns and the pertinent support and resistance levels. The first thing to consider is this: The 10-year yield has been leading the Fed since 2018. Coming out of Covid, the 10-year yield bottomed in August 2020 and kept going … the FOMC finally acquiesced, but not until March 2022, initially believing that inflation was transitory. Ironically, the 10-year yield is around the same level now as it was in the 1960s.

Persons: yearrate, YearYield, we're, we've, Frank Cappelleri Organizations: Federal, Fed Locations: Covid

☆ Forget the 'Magnificent 7,' these Nasdaq stocks are next in line to lead rally, according to the charts
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-24 | by ( Frank Cappelleri | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

We know all about the Nasdaq-100 index and the 'Magnificent 7' hype lately, but what about the stocks next in line? Well, the Invesco NASDAQ Next Gen 100 ETF (QQQJ) tracks the next biggest 100 Nasdaq stocks after the Nasdaq 100 – roughly Nasdaq stocks Nos. This isn't a surprise given that tech is the biggest sector in the Nasdaq Composite itself. Most importantly, the top 10 NDX stocks represent nearly 46% of the entire index. In fact, a similar scenario occurred in 2022 that eventually led to QQQJ outperforming NDX later in the year.

Persons: QQQJ, QQQJ outperforming NDX, Frank Cappelleri Organizations: Nasdaq, NASDAQ Locations: QQQJ, Technology

☆ Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway could be headed for its next major breakout, according to the charts
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-18 | by ( Frank Cappelleri | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The last few breakout attempts in late 2023 failed to attract enough interested buyers to push beyond the $360-$370 zone. Relative strength BRK.B also has displayed strong periods of relative strength vs. the financial sector. ('XLF' is the Financial Select SPDR tracking the financial sector in the S & P 500.) In other words, the stock can give investors exposure to the financial sector without having to endure the same risk to rising rates as banks. BRK.B last pushed to a new high vs. the S & P 500 in late 2018, but that breakout didn't hold.

Persons: Berkshire Hathaway, BRK.B, That's, Frank Cappelleri Locations: Berkshire

☆ The bitcoin chart is showing signs of resuming long-term trend back to $66,000
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-10 | by ( Frank Cappelleri | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Here's a breakdown of the bitcoin chart and what to watch for to confirm that the cryptocurrency is resuming its long-term trend back to all-time highs. A quick glimpse of BTC's chart shows that the last five months have been peppered with additional breakouts and overbought readings. Bigger picture, this is the most important chart pattern we're watching right now. For bitcoin, that gets us to a target near $66,500, which is right in line with its former, all-time highs. Zooming even further out, last year's bounce allowed bitcoin to maintain the same uptrend line it's been riding for years.

Persons: bitcoin, overbought, Frank Cappelleri Organizations: SEC, BTC

☆ Gold is testing the key $2,000 level. Why analysts are bullish and where they think it can go next
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-31 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Chart analysts are optimistic on the price of gold as the metal tests a ceiling that has previously capped gains. Spot gold has traded around the closely-watched $2,000 level in recent days for the first time since May. And, if previous highs can be surpassed, "we do think it's got some room to run here." That's based on analysis of previous movement in the gold chart to estimate how high the metal could go in the near term. Cappelleri, meanwhile, is first watching $2,180 after previous highs, based on a technical analysis of measured moves.

Persons: Thomas DiFazio, it's, Katie Stockton, Frank Cappelleri, Cappelleri, DiFazio, Mark Newton, Newton, It's Organizations: Bank of Japan Locations: Israel

☆ Meta Platforms broke below this closely watched level. What chart analysts expect now
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-23 | by ( Samantha Subin | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

More trouble could be ahead for shares of Meta Platforms based on one closely watched technical indicator. The Facebook and Instagram parent broke below its 50-day moving average this month for the first time since December. Meta shares have outperformed this year as CEO Mark Zuckerberg said it would focus on efficiency and artificial intelligence, sending the stock up more than 145%. Shares continue to hover below the 50-day moving average, which is now $297.98. Along with falling below its 50-day moving average, Frank Cappelleri notes that Meta has also completed what's known as a double top formation.

Persons: Meta —, Mark Zuckerberg, John Kolovos, Carter Worth, Frank Cappelleri, Meta, Cappelleri, CappThesis Organizations: Meta, Worth Locations: Worth

☆ Wall St retreats on debt ceiling jitters
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-19 | by ( Chuck Mikolajczak | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

[1/2] Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., April 14, 2023. Stocks had rallied over the past two sessions on growing confidence a deal to raise the $31.4 trillion debt limit could be reached in coming days, with the benchmark S&P 500 (.SPX) climbing more than 2%. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq were poised for their biggest weekly percentage gains since the final week of March. The warning weighed on Dow component Nike Inc (NKE.N), which lost 4.11%, while Under Armour Inc (UAA.N) fell 4.53%. The S&P 500 posted 28 new 52-week highs and three new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 72 new highs and 69 new lows.

☆ These ETFs can help round out your midterm election investing playbook
▼ + stars: | 2022-11-08 | by ( Jesse Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Even if the election results match expectations, stocks may still rally as some unknowns are removed. Broad sector ETFs from firms like iShares, State Street and Vanguard are one way to play these sectors, offering cheap broad exposure. For example, the Industrial Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLI) and Vanguard Communications Services ETF (VOX) both have an expense ratio of 0.10%. Under-the-radar elections Federal elections are not the only contests on Tuesday that could move stocks. The biggest marijuana ETFs — AdvisorShares Pure US Cannabis ETF (MSOS) and ETFMG Alternative Harvest ETF (MJ) — are each down more than 50% for the year.

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